BENEFITS OF DOCUMENT
DESCRIPTION
FORECASTING METHODS
Forecasting is the process of making predictions based on past and present data and most commonly by analysis of trends. A commonplace example might be estimation of some variable of interest at some specified future date. Prediction is a similar, but more general term. Both might refer to formal statistical methods employing time series, cross-sectional or longitudinal data, or alternatively to less formal judgmental methods. Usage can differ between areas of application: for example, in hydrology the terms "forecast" and "forecasting" are sometimes reserved for estimates of values at certain specific future times, while the term "prediction" is used for more general estimates, such as the number of times floods will occur over a long period.
Risk and uncertainty are central to forecasting and prediction; it is generally considered good practice to indicate the degree of uncertainty attaching to forecasts. In any case, the data must be up to date in order for the forecast to be as accurate as possible. In some cases the data used to predict the variable of interest is itself forecast.
Forecasting software packages have become available in recent years; the subject has deserved scholarly reviews.
Lecture Outline
1. Strategic Role of Forecasting in Supply Chain Management
2. Components of Forecasting Demand
3. Time Series Methods
4. Forecast Accuracy
5. Time Series Forecasting Using Excel
6. Regression Methods
Got a question about the product? Email us at support@flevy.com or ask the author directly by using the "Ask the Author a Question" form. If you cannot view the preview above this document description, go here to view the large preview instead.
Source: Best Practices in Budgeting & Forecasting PowerPoint Slides: Forecasting Methods PowerPoint (PPT) Presentation, UJ Consulting
This document is available as part of the following discounted bundle(s):
Save %!
Complete Operation Excellence Best Practices
This bundle contains 10 total documents. See all the documents to the right.
Budgeting & Forecasting Financial Analysis Consulting Training Financial Management ESG Disruption Scenario Planning M&A (Mergers & Acquisitions) KPI Strategy Frameworks Gap Analysis Growth Strategy Consulting Frameworks Project Finance Shareholder Value Private Equity Financial Risk Management Accounting
Download our FREE Strategy & Transformation Framework Templates
Download our free compilation of 50+ Strategy & Transformation slides and templates. Frameworks include McKinsey 7-S Strategy Model, Balanced Scorecard, Disruptive Innovation, BCG Experience Curve, and many more. |